Fair Odds for Breeders' Cup Friday Races

Hello again – long time, no see. (Or read? Or type?)

For those that had followed along at the beginning of the NFL season with my projections – apologies for falling off the face of the earth. Between my work travel in and out of Kentucky and another kiddo due any day now, my modeling has been put on the sidelines. I’m sure I’ll pick that back up along with NBA / CBB modeling over the winter months.

But that’s not what today and tomorrow are all about.

It’s time for the Breeders’ Cup.

I’m not going to do a deep dive into any of these races here in this space (although I will be doing three separate mini podcasts via the FanDuel Racing social channels; 3 ET Friday, 1 ET Saturday, 4:30 ET Saturday), however I will offer my personal assessment of how likely these runners are to win in their Breeders’ Cup races via my fair odds line. You may love my pricing, you may hate my pricing – it’s all subjective, and, at the end of the day, your opinion is the only one that matters. It’s your money you’re betting…don’t blindly bet my opinion. Bet your own.

With that being said, perhaps my outlook on these races can help you construct your wagers over the next two days.

As a reminder – the odds listed below are the odds I believe would represent a fair price on each of these runners, not what I believe they’ll go off at come post time.

Here are my fair odds for each runner in Friday’s Breeders’ Cup races (if there are changes, these numbers would need to be tweaked):

R6 – JUVENILE TURF SPRINT

2) Aesterius                                8/1
3) Big Mojo                                8/1
4) Magnum Force                     32/1
5) Arizona Blaze                       19/1
6) Jet Sweep Joe                        99/1
7) Whistlejacket                        9/2
8) Ecoro Sieg                              7/2
9) Shareholder                           10/1
10) Governor Sam                     13/1
11) Gate to Wire                        32/1
12) Ides of March                     12/1
13) Pali Kitten                            49/1

R7 - JUVENILE FILLIES

1) Vodka With a Twist           49/1
2) Snowyte                               24/1
3) Immersive                            9/2
4) La Cara                                13/1
5) Quickick                               6/1
6) Otomena Shacho                15/1
8) Nooni                                   13/1
9) American Bikini                 4/1
10) Scottish Lassie                  7/2

R8 - JUVENILE FILLIES TURF

1) Lake Victoria                        3/5
2) Nitrogen                                32/1
3) Correto                                  49/1
4) Scythian                                 32/1
5) Totally Justified                    32/1
6) Virgin Colada                       32/1
7) Thought Process                  24/1
8) Heavens Gate                       24/1
9) Kilwin                                   19/1
10) Abientot                              49/1
11) Fiery Lucy                           32/1
12) May Day Ready                  32/1
13) Vixen                                   32/1
14) Anshoda                              49/1

R9 – JUVENILE

1) East Avenue                        7/2
2) Getaway Car                       24/1
3) Hill Road                             49/1
4) Ferocious                            13/1
5) Jonathan’s Way                   5/1
6) Citizen Bull                         24/1
7) Gaming                                5/1
8) Shin Believe                        13/1
9) Ecoro Azel                           49/1
10 Chancer McPatrick           9/2

R10 – JUVENILE TURF

1) Satono Carnaval                  7/1
2) Dream On                            24/1
3) Noble Confessor                 9/1
4) Al Qudra                               9/1
5) Zulu Kingdom                     5/1
6) Iron Man Cal                       49/1
7) Seagulls Eleven                   24/1
9) The Waco Kid                      32/1
10) Mentee                               12/1
11) New Century                     9/1
12) Aomori City                      9/1
13) Henri Matisse                    9/1