NFL Week 2 Projections, 9.12.24
One week down, seventeen to go...
Week one is in the books, and hopefully it’s a harbinger of things to come in terms of my personal gambling. I’m not going to give out the specific bets I make week in and week out, but one can draw conclusions as to sides I’m on based on the projections listed below. A few caveats about this week’s projections:
These numbers are almost entirely based off my preseason numbers. There’s no sense in overreacting to one game…so I’m not going to. I’ll begin to fold in this season’s data after Week 2 comes to a conclusion.
Tread lightly with Thursday Night Football. I do like Miami in this spot, but as far as I’m concerned - Thursdays are in line with overseas games. Random things happen / short week / injuries…again, just tread lightly.
The Green Bay number wasn’t that difficult for me to make despite the fact that it’s currently unknown who their starting quarterback will be on Sunday. I’ve effectively just downgraded them from Jordan Love’s status to a league-average quarterback, although that may be a generous mark given the names that may wind up as QB1 this week.
BUF 22.6 - MIA 28.4 — MIA -5.8
SEA 19.5 - NE 19.8 — NE -0.3
LV 15.4 - BAL 27.3 — BAL -11.9
NO 21.0 - DAL 26.6 — DAL -5.6
LAC 23.2 - CAR 12.9 — LAC -10.3
SF 27.8 - MIN 21.2 — SF -6.6
IND 20.7 - GB 13.0 — IND -7.7
NYG 17.8 - WAS 20.7 — WAS -2.9
NYJ 21.5 - TEN 19.9 — NYJ -1.6
TB 23.7 - DET 30.7 — DET -7
CLE 21.3 - JAX 22.8 — JAX -1.5
LAR 25.3 - ARI 23.1 — LAR -2.2
CIN 21.9 - KC 27.8 — KC -5.9
PIT 19.0 - DEN 18.9 — PIT -0.1
CHI 20.6 - HOU 26.8 — HOU -6.2
ATL 20.6 - PHI 26.2 — PHI -5.6